Dear Partners and Prospective Investors,
In Week 3, we explored how bubbles breathe—slowly, quietly, deceptively. We talked about the illusion of balance that lures investors into comfort right before the break. This week, that illusion is gone. The markets aren’t whispering anymore—they’re cracking, loudly. Inflation is pushing back, growth is slipping, crypto is collapsing, and volatility is rattling the cage. Traders are hesitating. Investors are second-guessing. But the Nehemiah Fund doesn’t second-guess. We follow pure price, and price has just turned the page from caution to movement.
September’s CPI presses in at 3.0%, refusing to soften. Global growth has slipped below the 2% line. The Fed’s recent 25-basis-point cut was meant to calm nerves, but all it revealed is that monetary policy is now chasing momentum—not controlling it. The market’s reaction is unmistakable: equity futures fading, tech wobbling, energy softening, metals drifting, and liquidity pockets thinning across asset classes.
Across our 16-market futures universe—equity indices, interest-rate futures, currency pairs, cryptocurrency futures, and commodity markets in energy, agriculture, and metals—only one market has triggered a confirmed long entry. Every other market is sliding, slumping, or signaling instability. That’s not a problem for us—it's our advantage. Most funds panic during weakness. We listen to the only signal that matters: upward price confirmation. And right now, only one market has earned that trust.
While others debate the “why,” we focus on the what.
A critical development this week: the crypto collapse—and why we avoided every bit of it.
Over the last several weeks, cryptocurrency markets have been in freefall, shedding well over a trillion dollars in market value. Bitcoin plunged from highs above $126,000 to briefly trade near $90,000—a seven-month low—and dragged the entire digital asset complex with it.
And where was the Nehemiah Fund?
On the sidelines. Entirely.
No shorts.
No “buying the dip.”
No emotional rescue trades.
No gambling.
Because our system is long-only and price-driven, we only enter when a sustained upward trend confirms. Crypto offered none of that. Not a single long signal. Not a single entry. What crushed the overeager spared the disciplined.
This is mechanical risk management at its finest—not prediction, but filtering.
Labor and macro data this week confirm the tone shift.
Jobless claims continue to rise. Early payroll indicators show employers trimming staff. Equity futures are weakening. Rate markets are drifting lower. Asia and Europe are wobbling. This isn’t noise—it’s transition. A tightening of conditions. A clearing of the fog. A setup.
The system reads this better than any human can:
When the world is unsure, price is honest.
This is exactly why the Nehemiah Fund exists.
We are:
• Long-only
• 100% price-based
• Exclusively futures-driven
• Operating across 15–16 global markets
• Free from predictions, forecasts, or narratives
No emotion.
No bias.
No debate.
Just disciplined adherence to price and trend.
When price accelerates upward, we ride.
When price weakens or turns down, we wait.
When noise rises, we get clearer—because noise eliminates pretenders.
History reminds us why discipline wins.
On November 17, 1973, during the oil embargo, energy markets tripled in months. While stock markets collapsed, futures markets delivered one of the cleanest upward runs in modern history. Investors relying on “valuation logic” drowned. Those who followed price and momentum captured the move of a decade.
The same happened with gold in 2010.
The same happened with Bitcoin in 2020.
The same happens every time a major trend is born.
The story changes.
Price behavior does not.
Our posture today
One confirmed long position—managed tightly, monitored with conviction.
Fifteen-odd markets sitting on the edge of potential.
A system primed for the next upward break.
We aren’t waiting for the “all-clear.”
We are waiting for price.
Because in the end, price doesn’t care about your opinion—it only rewards those who listen.
Stay sharp. Stay decisive. Stay ready.
The Nehemiah Fund isn’t waiting for the narrative to resolve. We’re following the only signal that leads: price itself.
When the next trend ignites—and it will—will you be watching from the sidelines… or already in the move?
Onwards,
Brian J. Visconti
The Nehemiah Fund Team
Did you know that during the inflation explosion of 1979, gold surged more than 120% in just six months, even as economists dismissed the move as “temporary”? It became one of the fastest commodity breakouts in modern history—and it rewarded only those who followed the trend instead of questioning it.
If another runaway trend started tomorrow…
would you ride it—or rationalize it away?